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Thierry de la Rue
Examples and Counterexamples to Almost-Sure Convergence of Bilateral Martingales
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Published: |
September 3, 2002 |
Keywords: |
Two-parameter martingales, generating process |
Subject: |
37A50, 60G48 |
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Abstract
Given a stationary process (Xp)p∈Z and an event
B∈ σ(Xp, p∈Z), we study the almost sure convergence
as n and m go to infinity of the "bilateral'' martingale
E[1B | X-n, X-n+1,...,Xm-1,Xm].
We show that almost sure convergence holds in some classical examples such as
i.i.d. or Markov processes, as well as for the natural generator of
Chacon's transformation.
However, we also prove that in every aperiodic dynamical system with finite entropy,
there exists a generating process and a measurable set B for which the almost
sure convergence of the bilateral martingale does not hold.
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Author information
Laboratoire de Mathématiques Raphaël Salem, UMR 6085 CNRS-Université de Rouen, Site Colbert, F76821 Mont-Saint-Aignan Cedex, France
Thierry.Delarue@univ-rouen.fr
http://www.univ-rouen.fr/LMRS/Persopage/Delarue/index.html
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